Analysis: Shiite axis remains determined to launch reprisal but hesitating due to threat of swift counterattack; US and Israel prepared for any scenario but aim to avoid regional conflict; Washington seeks hostage deal and cease-fire
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards and Hezbollah in Lebanon appear to have decided on a plan for a retaliatory attack against Israel but are delaying its execution for strategic and operational reasons. The delay is due in part to the close surveillance and readiness of the IDF to launch a counterattack against any aggression from Iran or Hezbollah.
Recent overflights by Israeli Air Force jets above Beirut aim not only to intimidate Lebanese residents but also to exploit Israel’s aerial superiority and maintain constant surveillance for any preparations for an attack on Israel. The skies over Lebanon and western Syria are densely populated with armed aircraft and drones, ready to strike within minutes if a missile launcher is detected.
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